Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.209351 10.833122 12.620631 14.729072 17.142472 19.812906 22.985513
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.958223 9.102724 11.684201 14.998540 19.116454 24.038254 30.337112
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.405961 7.755978 10.810230 15.021051 20.618086 27.737443 37.402483
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.338665 6.756727 10.118268 15.046511 21.983013 31.276646 44.521070
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.404921 5.728240 9.167088 14.500945 22.406580 33.500259 49.999945
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.837154 5.116767 8.684921 14.500378 23.514895 36.676009 56.972383
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.389973 4.602330 8.250824 14.475119 24.525434 39.732363 63.954437
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.181443 4.446142 8.352174 15.279221 26.854377 44.896721 74.412504
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.976878 4.256024 8.359275 15.908278 28.935145 49.809637 84.811523
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.814840 4.114042 8.422781 16.624017 31.200499 55.153919 96.225412
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.580250 3.784857 8.095412 16.597795 32.180347 58.461027 104.566404
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.307454 3.323355 7.448366 15.898391 31.892803 59.609482 109.402281
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.086472 2.935556 6.898491 15.331728 31.816688 61.160723 115.122891
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.960014 2.738808 6.710092 15.447232 33.009451 65.001418 125.020042
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.838664 2.528835 6.461255 15.406085 33.890769 68.338875 134.244277
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.737348 2.347448 6.247030 15.406793 34.843880 71.859521 144.001397
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.615395 2.082430 5.797907 14.840024 34.591768 73.102012 149.675368
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.542867 1.938412 5.613463 14.835632 35.488208 76.570950 159.659963
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.478723 1.803608 5.430039 14.808357 36.326384 79.971509 169.702958
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.460140 1.805744 5.597816 15.628099 39.061305 87.280603 187.623195
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.434700 1.780197 5.688492 16.269530 41.451827 94.038855 204.827905
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.414229 1.766818 5.810142 16.999452 44.096169 101.464223 223.720427
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.368677 1.654986 5.640296 16.972667 45.009310 105.376040 235.838300